Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 0.408305 0.532071 0.666986 0.822885 0.996180 1.181255 1.392291
2025-03-23 0.238623 0.400388 0.597205 0.843749 1.135646 1.463177 1.852119
2025-03-30 0.150194 0.319576 0.545726 0.846110 1.216672 1.644994 2.165391
2025-04-06 0.084850 0.246710 0.487656 0.827327 1.262697 1.779187 2.418866
2025-04-13 0.057442 0.220190 0.483986 0.871402 1.380255 1.993575 2.761836
2025-04-20 0.038146 0.199176 0.483146 0.915627 1.495476 2.203453 3.098328
2025-04-27 0.025476 0.184912 0.489089 0.966774 1.617932 2.421072 3.443325
2025-05-04 0.020012 0.185347 0.517489 1.048887 1.780343 2.687801 3.847416
2025-05-11 0.012377 0.173606 0.523270 1.097214 1.897566 2.898144 4.183366
2025-05-18 0.004711 0.150268 0.505024 1.108083 1.963513 3.043555 4.439959
2025-05-25 0.000014 0.108431 0.444147 1.049933 1.933058 3.065296 4.543875
2025-06-01 NaN 0.072953 0.384579 0.987200 1.891779 3.069955 4.624046
2025-06-08 NaN 0.050226 0.346127 0.957316 1.898559 3.140908 4.793296
2025-06-15 NaN 0.041366 0.339534 0.980002 1.980523 3.310691 5.087751
2025-06-22 NaN 0.030614 0.322554 0.982531 2.031920 3.439325 5.329595
2025-06-29 NaN 0.018896 0.294371 0.962203 2.048295 3.520849 5.511540
2025-07-06 NaN 0.017390 0.303511 1.009893 2.165115 3.735545 5.861883
2025-07-13 NaN 0.016044 0.312733 1.057663 2.282122 3.950651 6.213000
2025-07-20 NaN 0.015591 0.325838 1.112809 2.410298 4.180848 6.583535
2025-07-27 NaN 0.018682 0.356277 1.201139 2.588503 4.478149 7.039616
2025-08-03 NaN 0.017816 0.367548 1.253018 2.712094 4.702634 7.403440
2025-08-10 NaN 0.013185 0.358044 1.264675 2.774983 4.845851 7.663995
2025-08-17 NaN 0.004652 0.312176 1.202263 2.723910 4.834948 7.727378